A three-player gambler's ruin problem: some extensions

Abid Hussain, M. Hanif, Moazzam Naseer
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Abstract

For the expected ruin time of the classic three-player symmetric game, Sandell derived a general formula by introducing an appropriate martingale and stopping time. For the case of asymmetric game, the martingale approach is not valid to determine the ruin time. In general, the ruin probabilities for both cases, i.e. symmetric and asymmetric game and expected ruin time for asymmetric game are still awaiting to be solved for this game. The current work is also about three-player gambler’s ruin problem with some extensions as well. We provide expressions for the ruin time with (without) ties when all the players have equal (unequal) initial fortunes. Finally, the validity of asymmetric game is also tested through a Monte Carlo simulation study.
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一个三人赌徒的破产问题:一些扩展
对于经典的三人对称博弈的预期毁灭时间,Sandell通过引入适当的鞅和停止时间推导出了一般公式。对于非对称博弈,鞅法不能确定破产时间。一般情况下,对于该博弈,对称和非对称两种情况下的破产概率以及非对称博弈的预期破产时间仍有待求解。目前的工作也是关于三个玩家赌徒的破产问题,以及一些扩展。当所有玩家初始财富相等(不相等)时,我们给出了有(无)平局的破产时间表达式。最后,通过蒙特卡罗仿真研究验证了非对称对策的有效性。
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