Implication of Diverse Modalities for Electrical Load Forecasting

Abdul Azeem, I. Ismail, Syed Muslim Jameel, V. R. Harindran
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引用次数: 3

Abstract

The extensive research and development over aeras have proposed numerous techniques for load forecasting (L.F). The major targeted area was either the grid, commercial or residential consumers but the industrial sector was not widely explored; specially the spaciousness of the grid isolated industries or independent power plants (IPP’s). The paper intent to investigates the L.F methods and highlight their flaws, comprehensive review of their limitations and existing potential challenges to associated with electrical L.F. The study furthers three potential research questions and respective objectives attained after extensive quality assessment criteria for inclusion or exclusion of literature. However, in electrical load forecasting, the choice of parameters and model selection criteria leads to an optimization challenge. The methods proposed with trial and error combined with expert knowledge to optimize the input parameters have been widely used in past. Such custom-made approaches are difficult to be considered in the isolated industries or IPP’s due to their nature of operations. Also, the renewable energy integration with conventional grids has commended towards more precise and accurate L.F. This paper presents a comprehensive review of forecasting techniques for electrical load forecasting and examine the models. Additionally, the research gaps are also discussed.
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电力负荷预测的多种模式的含义
近年来的广泛研究和发展已经提出了许多负荷预测技术。主要目标区域是电网、商业或住宅消费者,但工业部门没有得到广泛探索;特别是电网的空间,孤立的工业或独立的发电厂(IPP)。本文旨在调查lf方法,突出其缺陷,全面回顾其局限性和与电lf相关的现有潜在挑战。该研究进一步提出了三个潜在的研究问题,并通过广泛的文献纳入或排除质量评估标准实现了各自的目标。然而,在电力负荷预测中,参数的选择和模型的选择准则是一个优化的挑战。采用试错法结合专家知识对输入参数进行优化的方法在以往得到了广泛的应用。由于其操作性质,这种定制方法在孤立的行业或IPP中很难考虑。此外,可再生能源与传统电网的整合已被推荐为更精确和准确的lf。本文全面回顾了电力负荷预测的预测技术,并检查了模型。此外,还讨论了研究的空白。
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