Forecast Analysis of Target User Based on Data Mining

Qianhui Li, Jing Li
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Abstract

In the increasingly fierce market competition under the data-driven environment, companies began to focus on precision marketing to reduce costs and increase marketing efficiency and market competitiveness. In the past, most studies focused on the absolute accuracy of customer purchase intention, while little attention was paid to the accuracy of prediction methods. Based on the analysis of the advantages and disadvantages of data mining algorithms, this paper uses different algorithms to compare users' characteristics, preferences and other information implied in the purchase information. It also forecasts and analyzes the actual purchase situation of potential target customers. The results show that the prediction results of the decision tree algorithm are better than the clustering analysis and Naive Bayes algorithm, and the degree of improvement is even greater. At the age of 45-45 and commuting distance is 1-2 kilometers, there is a greater possibility of buying a replacement scooter without a car or a car group, thus providing personalized recommendation for customers to improve the quality of marketing.
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基于数据挖掘的目标用户预测分析
在数据驱动环境下日益激烈的市场竞争中,企业开始关注精准营销,以降低成本,提高营销效率和市场竞争力。以往的研究大多关注顾客购买意愿的绝对准确性,而很少关注预测方法的准确性。本文在分析数据挖掘算法优缺点的基础上,采用不同的算法对用户的特征、偏好等购买信息中隐含的信息进行比较。对潜在目标客户的实际购买情况进行预测和分析。结果表明,决策树算法的预测结果优于聚类分析和朴素贝叶斯算法,且改进程度更大。在45-45岁,通勤距离在1-2公里的人群中,无车或车团购买代步车的可能性更大,从而为客户提供个性化推荐,提高营销质量。
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