Evaluation of the Level of Prognostic Competence with Fuzzy Logic Systems

Juriy Andreevich Tashkinov
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Abstract

The chapter deals with main components are part of the prognostic competence. The chapter discusses possibility of using intelligent systems to model the predictive competence of a civil engineer. The analysis of the study of the problem was carried out using content analysis A model of the development of prognostic competence of a civil engineer using the Matlab software package with the Fuzzy Logic Toolbox module has been developed. A step-by-step forecasting technology, as well as possible errors in creating a forecast by an expert and ways of solving them, are proposed. In conclusion the chapter says most of all the level of formation of predictive competence depends on activity component.
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模糊逻辑系统预测能力水平的评价
本章论述了预测能力的主要组成部分。本章讨论了使用智能系统对土木工程师的预测能力进行建模的可能性。利用Matlab软件包和模糊逻辑工具箱模块,建立了土木工程师预测能力开发模型。提出了一种分步预测技术,以及专家在进行预测时可能出现的错误和解决这些错误的方法。最后,本章认为预测能力的形成程度主要取决于活动成分。
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