Intra-Urban Trip Generation Factors in Developing World: A Study of Ogun State, Nigeria

M. O. Solanke, B. Raji
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Abstract

Intra-urban travel is basic to urban residents. It is occasioned by the need of urban residents to carry out their activities in different places either by necessity or by choice. The magnitude of trips generated depends on the complex interaction of socio-economic characteristics of the cities and those of their residents. However, existing knowledge on the subject matter seems to concentrate on the latter to the sheer neglect of the former. This study therefore examines factors of intra-urban trip generation with emphasis on socio-economic characteristics of urban centres as well as those of urban residents. The study is based on both secondary and primary data from 14 selected urban centres of the state. Secondary data on 16 factors of growth of city were collected. These include population, industrial establishments, educational institutions, recreation and sporting services, postal and telecommunication services, health care services and shopping services. Primary data, through questionnaire survey were collected on socio-economic characteristics of urban residents and their trip generation frequency. 2,100 well completed questionnaires were analysed for this study. Simple bivariate correlation and multiple regression analyses were employed to examine the relationships between socio-economic characteristics of urban centres and trips generation. Similar analyses were also employed in the examination of the nature and extent of relationship between socio-economic characteristics of residents and trips generated. Principal component analysis was used in reducing socioeconomic variables of the urban centres. The socio-economic characteristics of urban centres provide a greater explanation of the criterion with 53.80 % (F=13.982 P ≤ 0.05) while socio-economic characteristics of residents provide 46.20% (F=137.62 P ≤ 0.01) of the explanation. The study establishes the need for caution among transport researchers in using socio-economic characteristics of urban residents as major determinants of urban travel especially in the developing countries.
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发展中国家城市内出行产生因素:对尼日利亚奥贡州的研究
城市内出行是城市居民的基本生活方式。它是由于城市居民需要在不同的地方开展活动而产生的,或者是出于需要,或者是出于选择。产生的旅行量取决于城市的社会经济特征及其居民的社会经济特征的复杂相互作用。然而,关于这一主题的现有知识似乎集中在后者,而完全忽视了前者。因此,本研究审查了城市内旅行产生的因素,重点是城市中心以及城市居民的社会经济特征。该研究基于来自该州14个选定城市中心的次要和主要数据。收集了16个城市生长因子的二次数据。这些服务包括人口、工业设施、教育机构、娱乐和体育服务、邮政和电信服务、保健服务和购物服务。通过问卷调查,收集了城市居民的社会经济特征和出行频率的初步数据。本研究分析了2100份完整的问卷。采用简单的双变量相关和多元回归分析来检验城市中心的社会经济特征与出行产生之间的关系。在审查居民的社会经济特征与产生的旅行之间的关系的性质和程度时,也采用了类似的分析。主成分分析用于减少城市中心的社会经济变量。城市中心的社会经济特征提供了更大的解释,为53.80% (F=13.982 P≤0.05),而居民的社会经济特征提供了46.20% (F=137.62 P≤0.01)的解释。这项研究表明,运输研究人员在使用城市居民的社会经济特征作为城市旅行的主要决定因素时需要谨慎,特别是在发展中国家。
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