CREDIT GROWTH OF VIETNAMESE COMMERCIAL BANKS IN THE CASE OF COVID-19 PANDEMIC

Quynh Xuan Pham
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Abstract

This study evaluates credit growth and analyzes factors affecting credit growth of Vietnamese commercial banks in the context of the Covid-19 pandemic. The study uses financial statement data from 25 Vietnamese commercial banks during the period from the 1st quarter  of 2018 to the 3rd quarter of 2021. The credit growth of the banks fluctuated and tended to decrease during the Covid-19 pandemic, especially from the beginning of 2021 to present when Vietnam faced significant outbreaks. The results from applying random effects model show that the Covid-19 pandemic had a negative impact on credit growth. In addition, financial capabilityalso negatively affected credit growth. In contrast, an increase of capital mobilization ability, profit rate, and profit margin led to the growth of credit.
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新冠肺炎疫情下越南商业银行信贷增长情况
本研究评估信贷增长,并分析在新冠肺炎疫情背景下影响越南商业银行信贷增长的因素。该研究使用了25家越南商业银行2018年第一季度至2021年第三季度的财务报表数据。在2019冠状病毒病大流行期间,特别是从2021年初到现在,越南面临重大疫情,银行信贷增长波动并趋于下降。应用随机效应模型的结果表明,新冠肺炎疫情对信贷增长产生了负面影响。此外,金融能力也对信贷增长产生了负面影响。相比之下,资本动员能力、利润率和利润率的提高导致了信贷的增长。
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