On the Dynamics of the HKD Exchange Rate Under Convertibility Undertakings

H. Yee, N. Dokuchaev
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

The paper studies the statistical properties of the evolution of the USD/HKD exchange rate during the period after the separation of strong and weak side convertibility undertakings, when the rate is confined to a specified corridor. We suggest a discrete time Markov model for the exchange rate evolution. This model accommodates the empirical exchange rate distribution, associated transition probabilities, and the volatility of the historical exchange rate.
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论可兑换承诺下港元汇率的动态
本文研究了美元/港元汇率在强弱侧可兑换业务分离后,在一定区间内变动的统计性质。我们提出了汇率演化的离散时间马尔可夫模型。该模型考虑了经验汇率分布、相关的过渡概率和历史汇率的波动性。
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