Analisis Dampak Bonus Demografi Terhadap Kesempatan Kerja di Propinsi Aceh

U. Hasanah, Dicky Armanda
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Abstract

It is estimated that between 2020-2035 Indonesia will encounter the peak of the demographic bonus. Aceh Province is one of the provinces in Indonesia that will experience this phenomenon. The demographic bonus is like a double-edged sword. On the one hand, it can be an opportunity and on the other, it can be a catastrophe. For this reason, the government's role in dealing with this phenomenon is urgently required. Policies that are able to stimulate the absorption of productive age workers are expected to be carried out by the government. The demographic bonus will truthfully be a bonus for the Indonesian citizens if the excess population of productive age can be employed in the right system. This study discusses the factors that affect employment opportunities, where job opportunities are one of the indicators of whether or not a country is optimal in taking advantage of the demographic bonus. The factors analyzed are the dependency ratio and the relationship between labor and employment opportunities. In this study, multiple linear regression analysis was used using secondary data of the time series type for the research period from 2010-2016. The results of this study indicate that there is a positive and significant effect between the number of workers on job opportunities. Besides, there is also a negative and significant influence between the dependency ratio on job opportunities.
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分析人口红利对亚齐省工作机会的影响
据估计,在2020年至2035年之间,印尼将遇到人口红利的高峰。亚齐省是印度尼西亚将经历这一现象的省份之一。人口红利就像一把双刃剑。一方面,它可能是一个机会,另一方面,它也可能是一个灾难。因此,政府在处理这一现象方面的作用是迫切需要的。预计政府将出台能够刺激吸收生产年龄工人的政策。如果生产年龄的过剩人口能够在正确的制度中得到就业,人口红利将真正成为印度尼西亚公民的红利。本研究讨论了影响就业机会的因素,其中就业机会是一个国家在利用人口红利方面是否最优的指标之一。分析的因素是抚养比和劳动与就业机会的关系。本研究采用多元线性回归分析,采用时间序列类型的二次数据,研究期为2010-2016年。本研究结果显示,劳工人数对就业机会有显著的正向影响。此外,抚养比对就业机会也存在显著的负向影响。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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