Optimized Purchasing Strategy of Electric Power Distributers Based on the Markowitz Theory

Chengyu Wen, Li Chun-jie, Zhao Hui-ru
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引用次数: 3

Abstract

In the deregulated electricity market, the vertically-integrated monopoly structure was broken. Competitive electricity market was formed. How to make the purchasing decisions in different market and optimize the portfolios of contracts to minimize risks and maximize profits becomes the major concern of discos. In this paper, a bi-objective programming model is established based on the Markowitz theory for the investment risk, with minimizing purchasing cost and minimizing its risks being the objectives. The necessity to study financial risks in electricity markets, the application of the Value at Risk (VaR) method and the feasibility of historical simulations are discussed.
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基于马科维茨理论的电力分销商采购优化策略
在解除管制的电力市场中,垂直一体化的垄断结构被打破。竞争性电力市场形成。如何在不同的市场环境下进行采购决策,优化合同组合,使风险最小化,利润最大化,成为企业关注的主要问题。本文基于马科维茨理论,以采购成本最小化和风险最小化为目标,建立了投资风险的双目标规划模型。讨论了电力市场金融风险研究的必要性、风险价值(VaR)方法的应用以及历史模拟的可行性。
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