Simulation Modeling of Manipulative Influences in Social Networks

Koryachko Aleksei Vyacheslavovich, Minaev Vladimir Aleksandrovich, Faddeev Aleksandr Olegovich
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Abstract

System-dynamic model of manipulative influences in social networks is considered. Used differential equation system is given. Experiments with the model using simulation system AnyLogic are carried out. Experimental results based on the research of information distribution in different regions of Russian Federation are shown. Using cluster analysis, the typology of locations into statistically homogeneous groups is made. An accurate model showing the dependency of dynamic characteristics shown by information distribution in social networks of different clusters from the median that characterizes the number of network user "followers" is constructed. The model allows implementing the forecast of information counteractions in social networks and reproducing different scenarios of given processes development.
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社会网络中操纵影响的仿真建模
研究了社会网络中操纵影响的系统动力学模型。给出了常用的微分方程组。利用仿真系统AnyLogic对该模型进行了实验。基于对俄罗斯联邦不同地区信息分布的研究,给出了实验结果。利用聚类分析,将地点的类型划分为统计上均匀的组。构建了一个准确的模型,反映了不同聚类的社交网络中信息分布所表现出的动态特征与表征网络用户“追随者”数量的中位数之间的依赖关系。该模型允许在社会网络中实现信息对抗的预测,并再现给定流程开发的不同场景。
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