Do Fiscal Decentralization and Human Development Index Affect Poverty in Indonesia?

Cut Risya Varlitya, R. Masbar, A. Jamal, M. Nasir
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引用次数: 2

Abstract

The study aim is to analyze how the effects of fiscal decentralization and Human Development Index (HDI) on poverty in Indonesia. This study employ secondary data in the form of time series from 2010 to 2017, and cross section data consisting of 33 provinces in Indonesia, so that the type of polled data can be categorized that is a combination of time series data (for 8 years) with cross section data 33 Province in Indonesia. The analytical method used is PLS (Panel Least Square) with a comparison of two models namely the Fixed Effect and Robust Least Square models. From the results of the Fixed Effect regression model shows that DDF has a negative and insignificant effect on Poverty, while HDI has a negative and significant effect on Poverty. The study found that each additional unit of DDF reduced poverty by 10.97 percent if the HDI remains. In addition, the Human Development Index unit reduced the number of poor by 79.83 percent if the DDF remains. These findings implied that to reduce the poverty, efforts to improve HDI need to be focused. Keywords— Fiscal decentralization; Human development index; Poverty
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财政分权与人类发展指数对印尼贫困的影响?
本研究的目的是分析财政分权和人类发展指数(HDI)对印尼贫困的影响。本研究采用了2010 - 2017年时间序列形式的二次数据和印度尼西亚33个省的截面数据,因此可以将民意调查数据的类型分类为时间序列数据(8年)和印度尼西亚33个省的截面数据的组合。使用的分析方法是PLS(面板最小二乘法),并比较了两个模型,即固定效应模型和稳健最小二乘法模型。固定效应回归模型的结果表明,DDF对贫困的影响为负且不显著,而HDI对贫困的影响为负且显著。研究发现,如果人类发展指数保持不变,每增加一个DDF单位,贫困人口就会减少10.97%。此外,如果保留DDF,人类发展指数单位将使贫困人口减少79.83%。这些发现表明,要减少贫困,就必须集中努力提高人类发展指数。关键词:财政分权;人类发展指数;贫困
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