International Complementarities of National Capitalism

P. Manow
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Abstract

The adjustment pattern of the German model to low growth and to the transition to the service economy proved unsustainable in the medium to long term, and ultimately led to a profound welfare state reform that in many respects broke with the quasi-corporatism of Modell Deutschland. This has been associated with the spectacular revival of the German economy, before and after the Great Recession, also because its competitive characteristics were significantly strengthened within the euro area. Yet, the success of Modell Deutschland of course also contributes to the increasing imbalances and to the divergent economic dynamics within the common currency area, which ultimately have the potential to disrupt it. The chapter explains in more detail how wage moderation remained stable in Germany even though the strategic interaction with the German Bundesbank, on which the wage-moderation arrangement for a long time had been based, was a thing of the past after the introduction of the euro. It points to functional equivalents for the disciplining effect of Germany’s accommodating social policy.
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国家资本主义的国际互补性
德国模式向低增长和向服务经济转型的调整模式在中长期内被证明是不可持续的,最终导致了深刻的福利国家改革,在许多方面与德国模式的准社团主义决裂。这与德国经济在大衰退前后的惊人复苏有关,也因为德国的竞争力特征在欧元区得到了显著加强。然而,“德国模式”的成功当然也助长了日益加剧的失衡和共同货币区内不同的经济动态,最终有可能破坏这种失衡。本章更详细地解释了德国的工资调控是如何保持稳定的,尽管在引入欧元之后,与德国联邦银行(Bundesbank)的战略互动(长期以来工资调控安排的基础)已成为过去。它指出了德国宽松的社会政策的约束效果的功能等价物。
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