TSMix: time series data augmentation by mixing sources

L. N. Darlow, Artjom Joosen, Martin Asenov, Qiwen Deng, Jianfeng Wang, Adam Barker
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Abstract

Data augmentation for time series is challenging because of the complex multi-scale relationships spanning ordered continuous sequences: one cannot easily alter a single datum and expect these relationships to be preserved. Time series datum are not independent and identically distributed random variables. However, modern Function as a Service (FaaS) infrastructure yields a unique opportunity for data augmentation because of the multiple distinct functions within a single data source. Further, common strong periodicity afforded by the human diurnal cycle and its link to these data sources enables mixing distinct functions to form pseudo-functions for improved model training. Herein we propose time series mix (TSMix), where pseudo univariate time series are created by mixing combinations of real univariate time series. We show that TSMix improves the performance on held-out test data for two state-of-the-art forecast models (N-BEATS and N-HiTS) and linear regression.
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TSMix:通过混合源增强时间序列数据
由于跨越有序连续序列的复杂多尺度关系,时间序列的数据增强是具有挑战性的:人们不能轻易地改变单个数据并期望保留这些关系。时间序列数据不是独立的、同分布的随机变量。然而,现代功能即服务(FaaS)基础设施为数据扩展提供了独特的机会,因为单个数据源中有多个不同的功能。此外,人类昼夜周期提供的共同强周期性及其与这些数据源的联系使得混合不同的函数形成伪函数以改进模型训练。在此,我们提出了时间序列混合(TSMix),其中伪单变量时间序列是由真实单变量时间序列的混合组合产生的。我们表明,TSMix提高了两种最先进的预测模型(N-BEATS和N-HiTS)和线性回归的持有测试数据的性能。
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