Estimating the Value of Statistical Life (VSL) Losses from COVID-19 Infections in the United States

Linus Wilson
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引用次数: 3

Abstract

Americans aged sixty or older stand to lose 153 to 222 days of life expectancy from contracting COVID-19. Over 90 percent of the U.S. population was under stay at home orders by April 2020. These social distancing measures to slow the spread of the SARS-CoV-2 or novel coronavirus have led to over 20 million new applications for unemployment benefits. Are these economic losses justified? We find the value of statistical lives lost (VSL) from an unconstrained spread of the virus which hypothetically infected 81 percent of the population would amount to $8 to $60 trillion.
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估算美国COVID-19感染造成的统计寿命(VSL)损失价值
60岁及以上的美国人因感染COVID-19将损失153至222天的预期寿命。到2020年4月,超过90%的美国人口被要求呆在家里。这些旨在减缓SARS-CoV-2或新型冠状病毒传播的社会距离措施已导致2000多万人新申请失业救济。这些经济损失合理吗?我们发现,假设感染81%人口的病毒不受限制的传播所造成的统计生命损失(VSL)的价值将达到8至60万亿美元。
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