Interest Rate and Investment Decision in Nigeria: A Cointegration Approach

Victor E. Oriavwote, Dickson O. Oyovwi
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

The objective of this paper empirically investigated the influence of interest rate on investment decisions in Nigeria. The cointegration technique with its implied ECM was applied to estimate the data which covered the period between 1980 and 2012. The result shows that while high minimum rediscount rate and high prime lending rates have detrimental impact on aggregate investment, high treasury bill rates and high government stock rates have positive and significant impact of the level of aggregate investment in Nigeria. The ECM result shows a satisfactory speed of adjustment and a long run relationship also exists among the variables. The study shows that interest rates have differential impact on aggregate investment. The result recommends amongst others that to increase aggregate investment, the minimum rediscount rate and the prime lending rate should be lowered. Normal 0 false false false EN-US X-NONE AR-SA
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利率与尼日利亚投资决策:协整分析
本文的目的是实证调查利率对尼日利亚投资决策的影响。协整技术及其隐含的ECM被应用于估计1980年至2012年期间的数据。研究结果表明,高最低再贴现率和高优惠贷款利率对尼日利亚总投资水平有不利影响,而高国库券利率和高政府股票利率对尼日利亚总投资水平有显著的正向影响。ECM结果表明,各变量之间存在着长期的关系,且调整速度令人满意。研究表明,利率对总投资的影响存在差异。结果表明,为了增加总投资,应降低最低再贴现率和优惠贷款利率。正常0 false false false EN-US X-NONE AR-SA
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