Battery Monitoring and Energy Forecasting for an Off-Grid Solar Photovoltaic Installation

Sailen Nair, William Becerra Gonzalez, J. Braid
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引用次数: 2

Abstract

This document details the design and implementation for an off-grid PV energy management system with key objectives being battery monitoring and energy forecasting. Coulomb counting is used to estimate the state of charge of a 24 V, 100 Ah lead-acid battery bank. An ACS712 hall effect current sensor module is used to implement the coulomb counter. A random forest regression model is used to predict solar irradiance with a root mean square error of 15.4%, when comparing actual Johannesburg irradiance data to predicted data. Energy forecasting is successfully done with a root mean square error of 6.2% for a three-day continuous test. It is concluded that the proposed solution successfully demonstrates a working principle for an energy management system, however, further improvements are needed to make the forecast model as accurate as possible.
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离网太阳能光伏装置的电池监测与能量预测
本文详细介绍了离网光伏能源管理系统的设计和实现,主要目标是电池监测和能源预测。库仑计数用于估计24 V, 100 Ah铅酸蓄电池组的充电状态。采用ACS712霍尔效应电流传感器模块实现库仑计数器。采用随机森林回归模型预测太阳辐照度,将约翰内斯堡实际辐照度数据与预测数据进行比较,均方根误差为15.4%。在连续3天的测试中,能源预测的均方根误差为6.2%。结果表明,所提出的解决方案成功地展示了能源管理系统的工作原理,但需要进一步改进以使预测模型尽可能准确。
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