A Functional FMECA Approach for the Assessment of Critical Infrastructure Resilience

G. Carvalho, N. Medeiros, H. Madeira, Bruno Cabral
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Abstract

The damage or destruction of Critical Infrastructures (CIs) affect societies’ sustainable functioning. Therefore, it is crucial to have effective methods to assess the risk and resilience of CIs. Failure Mode and Effects Analysis (FMEA) and Failure Mode Effects and Criticality Analysis (FMECA) are two approaches to risk assessment and criticality analysis. However, these approaches are complex to apply to intricate CIs and associated Cyber-Physical Systems (CPS). We provide a top-down strategy, starting from a high abstraction level of the system and progressing to cover the functional elements of the infrastructures. This approach develops from FMECA but estimates risks and focuses on assessing resilience. We applied the proposed technique to a real-world CI, predicting how possible improvement scenarios may influence the overall system resilience. The results show the effectiveness of our approach in benchmarking the CI resilience, providing a cost-effective way to evaluate plausible alternatives concerning the improvement of preventive measures.
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关键基础设施弹性评估的功能性FMECA方法
关键基础设施(CIs)的破坏或破坏影响社会的可持续运作。因此,有有效的方法来评估ci的风险和弹性是至关重要的。失效模式与影响分析(FMEA)和失效模式影响与临界性分析(FMECA)是风险评估和临界性分析的两种方法。然而,这些方法应用于复杂的ci和相关的网络物理系统(CPS)是复杂的。我们提供自顶向下的策略,从系统的高抽象级别开始,逐步覆盖基础结构的功能元素。这种方法从FMECA发展而来,但估计风险并侧重于评估复原力。我们将建议的技术应用于实际的CI,预测可能的改进场景如何影响整个系统的弹性。结果表明我们的方法在CI弹性基准测试方面的有效性,提供了一种具有成本效益的方法来评估有关改进预防措施的合理替代方案。
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