The Relationship Between Defense Expenditures and Economic Growth: Rolling-Window Causality Test

Mustafa Zuhal
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Abstract

Defense expenditures have an essential place in the growth of countries. Defense expenditures and economic growth are frequently linked in the literature. The relationship between these variables may alter according to time and country-specific characteristics. This study examines the causality relationship between defense expenditures and economic growth with the rolling-window causality. For all panels, the study found bidirectional causality only in China and unidirectional causality in S. Korea and the UK. On the other hand, the rolling-window causality test detected bidirectional causality between the variables in all countries except the USA. Economic growth and defense expenditures have a unidirectional causality in the USA.
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国防支出与经济增长的关系:滚动窗因果检验
国防开支在各国的增长中占有重要的地位。国防开支和经济增长在文献中经常被联系在一起。这些变量之间的关系可能根据时间和国家的具体特点而改变。本研究运用滚动窗因果关系检验国防支出与经济增长之间的因果关系。对于所有面板,研究发现双向因果关系仅在中国,单向因果关系在韩国和英国。另一方面,滚动窗因果关系检验在除美国外的所有国家都发现了变量之间的双向因果关系。在美国,经济增长和国防开支是单向的因果关系。
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