Military presence of the Russian Federation in the Republic of Belarus

Ireneusz Topolski
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Abstract

A military presence on the territory of the Republic of Belarus is highly significant for the Russian Federation geopolitically. Russia is very particular about having buffer zones, client and neighbouring states with limited sovereignty on its borders. The aim of this article is to analyse the specificity of the Russian Federation’s military presence in Belarus. In the following article, two hypotheses have been verified using factor analysis. Firstly, sustaining control over the territory of Belarus is of particular importance for the military safety of Russia, while at the same time, it detrimentally affects the stability of the Central and Eastern Europe countries. Secondly, the Russian Federation does not have a permanent military base within Belarusian territory and its military presence is solely confined to the use of military and transport infrastructure, which is indispensable for rapid accommodation and deployment of the Armed Force formations as well as for the rotation of strike forces. Due to political reasons, a permanent military presence enables Russia to keep Belarus within its area of influence. Nevertheless, in military terms, the utilisation of military and transport infrastructure in order to rapidly deploy strike forces within the territory of the Republic is far more important.
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俄罗斯联邦在白俄罗斯共和国的军事存在
在白俄罗斯共和国领土上的军事存在对俄罗斯联邦的地缘政治意义重大。俄罗斯对在其边界上拥有有限主权的缓冲区、附庸国和邻国非常挑剔。本文的目的是分析俄罗斯联邦在白俄罗斯军事存在的特殊性。在下面的文章中,使用因子分析验证了两个假设。首先,保持对白俄罗斯领土的控制对俄罗斯的军事安全具有特别重要的意义,同时,它也有害地影响中欧和东欧国家的稳定。第二,俄罗斯联邦在白俄罗斯领土内没有永久的军事基地,其军事存在仅仅限于使用军事和运输基础设施,而这些基础设施对于迅速安置和部署武装部队以及轮换打击部队是必不可少的。由于政治原因,永久的军事存在使俄罗斯能够将白俄罗斯保持在其影响范围内。然而,在军事方面,利用军事和运输基础设施以便在共和国领土内迅速部署打击部队要重要得多。
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