FORECASTING JUMLAH MAHASISWA BARU MENGGUNAKAN METODE AUTOMATIC CLUSTERING AND FUZZY LOGIC RELATIONSHIP MARKOV CHAIN (STUDI KASUS : FAKULTAS TEKNOLOGI INFORMASI DAN KOMUNIKASI VISUAL INSTITUT SAINS DAN TEKNOLOGI AL-KAMAL)

Mundirin Mundirin
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Abstract

Abstraction                     Forecasting or forecasting is a calculation analysis technique that is done by carrying out qualitative and quantitative approaches to think about future events using reference data in the past. The purpose of this study is to predict the number of new students at the Faculty of Information and Visual Communication Technology at the Al-Kamal Institute of Science and Technology in the academic year 2020/2021. Prediction of the number of new students in the Faculty of Information and Visual Communication Technology of the Al-Kamal Institute of Science in the future accurately is very important to do, because many decisions can be taken by the Leaders of the Al-Kamal Institute of Science and Technology from these predictions. Markov Chain Automatic Clustering and Fuzzy Logic Relationship Method was chosen because it has a better level of accuracy among other Fuzzy Logic methods. The data used in this study are secondary data obtained from the Academic Information System of the Al-Kamal Institute of Science and Technology. Based on this research it was found that the predicted results of the number of new students of the Faculty of Information and Visual Communication Technology at the Al-Kamal Institute of Science and Technology in the academic year 2020/2021 amounted to 64 with a MAPE of 8.25%
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预测或预测是一种计算分析技术,通过使用过去的参考数据,采用定性和定量的方法来思考未来的事件。本研究的目的是预测2020/2021学年Al-Kamal科学技术学院信息与视觉通信技术学院的新生人数。准确预测未来Al-Kamal科学学院信息与视觉通信技术学院的新生人数非常重要,因为Al-Kamal科学技术学院的领导可以根据这些预测做出许多决定。选择马尔可夫链自动聚类和模糊逻辑关系方法,因为它在其他模糊逻辑方法中具有更高的精度。本研究使用的数据是来自Al-Kamal科学技术研究所学术信息系统的二手数据。根据这项研究发现,2020/2021学年Al-Kamal科学技术学院信息与视觉通信技术学院的新学生人数的预测结果为64人,MAPE为8.25%
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