Valuating Consumer Credit Portfolios

Abstract

This paper proposes a model in which the borrower credit risk is associated with the cash flow method to assess the economic value of a consumer credit portfolio. A Monte Carlo simulation applying the method in an illustrative loan reveals that the lending standards of the institution, captured in the model by the expected and unexpected losses of the contract according to the Basel II Internal Rating Based Approach, is a key driver for the intrinsic value of the portfolio, lending support to the evidence that a bank’s credit policy and bank valuation are associated