Nature vs policy: drought and famine in the northeast of Brazil, 1877-79

J. Tiburcio
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Abstract

Droughts followed by famines were common in Brazil, mainly in Northeast Brazil, until the 1980s and were frequently devastating, destroying livelihoods. A succession of droughts resulted in harvest failure, triggering famines in some cases. Famine-like conditions prevailed mainly in the 1877-79 Grande Seca (Great Drought), in which many died of malnutrition-related causes. In subsequent droughts, famine-like conditions reoccurred, but the extent of starvation-induced deaths declined to almost zero. Do only available political theories and known natural and socio-political factors, such as climate, topography, and market viability, provide sufficient data to investigate the causes of the drought of 1877-1879? The author concludes that there is little or no research, accumulated knowledge and information on the possible factors that satisfactorily explain why the drought and famine episodes were so impactful in that period.
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自然与政策:1877- 1879年巴西东北部的干旱和饥荒
直到20世纪80年代,干旱和饥荒在巴西很常见,主要是在巴西东北部,而且常常是毁灭性的,破坏了人们的生计。连续的干旱导致歉收,在某些情况下还引发了饥荒。类似饥荒的情况主要发生在1877年至1879年的大干旱期间,许多人死于与营养不良有关的原因。在随后的干旱中,类似饥荒的情况再次发生,但饥饿造成的死亡人数下降到几乎为零。只有现有的政治理论和已知的自然和社会政治因素,如气候、地形和市场可行性,才能提供足够的数据来调查1877-1879年干旱的原因吗?作者的结论是,很少或根本没有关于可能因素的研究、积累的知识和信息,可以令人满意地解释为什么干旱和饥荒事件在那个时期如此有影响。
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