Three Fiscal Policy Experiments in an Agent-Based Macroeconomic Model

Carl M. Gustafson
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

In this paper, I build from scratch a basic agent-based macroeconomic model, featuring fifty representative agents whose decisions to consume and save depend on the current relative performance of the economy at-large. I run three different experiments in the framework: the first, on the effects of tax and spending "flexibility" on stabilizing output, the second, on the ability of spending stimulus to stabilize output, and the third, on redistributive measures across income groups and their effects on aggregate economic performance. I find that tax and spending flexibility accelerates the path back to stability after an initial imposed downturn, that spending stimulus does much the same, though with a greater initial "kick", and that redistribution in this model may take place and increase the welfare of lower-income agents without imposing a significant burden on overall performance.
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基于主体的宏观经济模型中的三个财政政策实验
在本文中,我从零开始建立了一个基本的基于主体的宏观经济模型,其中有50个代表主体,他们的消费和储蓄决策取决于当前整体经济的相对表现。我在这个框架中进行了三个不同的实验:第一个是关于税收和支出“灵活性”对稳定产出的影响,第二个是关于支出刺激稳定产出的能力,第三个是关于跨收入群体的再分配措施及其对总体经济表现的影响。我发现,税收和支出的灵活性加速了在最初强加的低迷之后回归稳定的道路,支出刺激也起到了同样的作用,尽管最初的“推力”更大,而且该模型中的再分配可能会发生,并增加低收入主体的福利,而不会对整体表现造成重大负担。
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