Analysis of Real Estate Market and Regulation Policy Recommendations - Based on Game Theory and Rational Expectation Theory

Jiawen Zhang
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Abstract

In recent years, China's real estate prices have risen rapidly, and the government has frequently introduced policies to regulate it, but real estate prices remain high. This paper analyzes the internal mechanism of the formation of high housing prices and the phenomenon of “more regulation, more growth” by using game theory and rational expectations theory. On this basis, the paper puts forward feasible suggestions for promoting the development of the real estate market and the reasonable fall of housing prices: speeding up the social housing construction; maintaining policy continuity and optimizing the investment environment in other sectors of society.
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房地产市场分析及调控政策建议——基于博弈论和理性预期理论
近年来,中国房地产价格快速上涨,政府也频频出台政策调控,但房地产价格依然居高不下。本文运用博弈论和理性预期理论分析了高房价形成的内在机制和“调控越多,增长越快”现象。在此基础上,提出了促进房地产市场发展和房价合理下跌的可行性建议:加快社会保障住房建设;保持政策连续性,优化其他领域投资环境。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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