Economic Consequences of Moore's Law

Rupert Macey-Dare
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

This paper considers the potential consequences if Moore’s Law, an empirical law about exponentially increasing computing power, continues to hold into the foreseeable future. Areas considered include: a generalized version of Moore’s Law (GML), likely new social classes in a GML world, likely changes in the distribution of income and wealth, potential effects on existing political systems and the spread of political systems, national and international taxation, optimal currencies, country numbers and sizes, demographics and potential leveling then shrinking plus aging of the global population, potential long term dominance of machine intelligence, and the potential timing and number of human generations for such effects to occur.
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摩尔定律的经济后果
本文考虑了摩尔定律的潜在后果,摩尔定律是一个关于指数增长计算能力的经验定律,在可预见的未来继续保持不变。考虑的领域包括:摩尔定律(GML)的广义版本,在GML世界中可能出现的新社会阶级,收入和财富分配的可能变化,对现有政治制度和政治制度传播的潜在影响,国内和国际税收,最优货币,国家数量和规模,人口统计和潜在的平衡和萎缩加上全球人口老龄化,机器智能的潜在长期主导地位,以及这种影响发生的潜在时间和人类世代数量。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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