What drives housing consumption in China? Based on a dynamic optimal general equilibrium model and spatial panel data analysis

Zhipeng Du, Wei Zhang, Yiming He
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Abstract

Abstract. This paper examines the housing sales in China from 2004 to 2015 utilizing an optimal dynamic general equilibrium theoretical framework combined with a macroeconomic model. The spatial panel econometric empirical results suggest that housing prices and economic growth have increased housing sales in China. However, since house is considered as a special commodity in China, and unemployment show negative impacts on housing sales. Keywords. Energy use, Housing values, Optimal dynamic general equilibrium, Spatial panel econometrics, China. JEL. Q41, R31, E10.
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是什么推动了中国的住房消费?基于动态最优一般均衡模型和空间面板数据分析
摘要本文运用最优动态一般均衡理论框架结合宏观经济模型,对2004 - 2015年中国住房销售进行了实证研究。空间面板计量经济学实证结果表明,房价和经济增长对中国住房销售有促进作用。然而,由于房屋在中国被视为一种特殊商品,失业对房屋销售产生了负面影响。关键词。能源使用,住房价值,最优动态一般均衡,空间面板计量经济学,中国。冻胶。Q41, r31, e10。
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