Modeling charity donations using target selection for revenue maximization

J. Sousa, S. Madeira, U. Kaymak
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Abstract

This paper presents the results of one application of target selection in direct marketing: the mailing campaigns of a charity organization, where the clients are selected based on the expected amount of donation they are going to make. Target selection is an important data mining problem for which several modeling techniques have been used. Statistical regression, neural networks, decision trees, and clustering are the most utilized techniques. Fuzzy clustering can also be applied to target selection. In this paper, traditional and fuzzy techniques are compared by using cross-validation measures. The four techniques are applied based on recency, frequency and monetary value measures. The application to mailing campaigns of a charity organization, showed that fuzzy modeling obtains results similar to those of other classical target selection techniques.
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利用目标选择实现收益最大化的慈善捐赠建模
本文介绍了目标选择在直接营销中的一个应用结果:一个慈善组织的邮寄活动,其中客户是根据他们将要捐款的预期金额来选择的。目标选择是一个重要的数据挖掘问题,已经使用了多种建模技术。统计回归、神经网络、决策树和聚类是最常用的技术。模糊聚类也可以应用于目标选择。本文采用交叉验证的方法对传统技术和模糊技术进行了比较。这四种技术是基于最近性、频率和货币价值度量来应用的。通过对某慈善机构邮件活动的应用,表明模糊建模方法与其他经典的目标选择方法具有相似的效果。
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