Should the Federal Reserve Issue a Digital Currency as Virtual Legal Tender? An Econo-legal Analysis Based on China’s Master Plan for De-dollarization

Alvin Hoi-Chun Hung
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Abstract

Mainstream discussion on whether the Federal Reserve should issue a central bank digital currency (CBDC) as virtual legal tender focuses on five aspects related to the American domestic environment -- efficiency, privacy, safety and security, financial inclusion and exclusion, and impact on the current economic systems and monetary policies. This article takes a new and broader perspective on this critical issue by investigating how China, being the arch-international competitor of the US, has formulated a well-designed and structured master plan supported by various econo-legal strategies to pursue the objective of de-dollarization through the utilization of a China-currency-based CBDC with “controllable anonymity” and different multicurrency exchange and settlement platforms. Given the reality that de-dollarization will inevitably weaken the ubiquitous platform of international trade and payment of the US dollar (USD), can the Federal Reserve use the same tool, a USD-based CBDC, to counteract or even reverse the declining trend of the American currency’s versatility and far-reaching capability? This article recommends that the Federal Reserve can slow down the de-dollarization movement by issuing a CBDC at both the wholesale and retail levels, emphasizing the control of the former while having more cooperation with private banks for the latter.
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美联储应该发行数字货币作为虚拟法定货币吗?基于中国去美元化总体规划的经济法律分析
关于美联储是否应该发行央行数字货币(CBDC)作为虚拟法定货币的主流讨论集中在与美国国内环境相关的五个方面——效率、隐私、安全和保障、金融包容性和排他性,以及对当前经济体系和货币政策的影响。本文对这一关键问题采取了一个新的、更广泛的视角,研究中国作为美国的主要国际竞争对手,如何制定了一个精心设计和结构化的总体规划,并得到各种经济法律战略的支持,通过利用以中国货币为基础的CBDC和不同的多货币交换和结算平台来实现去美元化的目标。考虑到去美元化将不可避免地削弱无处不在的美元国际贸易和支付平台,美联储能否使用同样的工具,即以美元为基础的CBDC,来抵消甚至扭转美元多功能性和深远能力的下降趋势?本文建议美联储可以通过在批发和零售层面发行CBDC来减缓去美元化运动,强调对前者的控制,而对后者则更多地与私人银行合作。
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