Planning under uncertainty using chess principles, strategies and tactics

I. Y. Al-Filali, A. Attia, A. Husseiny, A. Alhamadi
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Abstract

The uncertainty and volatility of oil prices and the rise of political uncertainty in the Middle East Region have shifted the ground beneath the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) economies in recent years. The traditional planning methods are strategically blind and inherently short sighted when used by firms under uncertainty. This study provides concepts, analytic tools, and examples of the four levels of uncertainty. The study draws a parallel between the uncertainty in chess game and business and tailored chess principles, processes, strategies and tactics to be used by businesses under uncertainty situations. This study contributes to current knowledge of using chess as metaphor to describe business, finding a connection to the dynamics of chess given the use of its principles, strategy and tactics.
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在不确定的情况下利用国际象棋的原则、策略和战术进行规划
近年来,石油价格的不确定性和波动性以及中东地区政治不确定性的上升已经改变了海湾合作委员会(GCC)经济体的基础。传统的规划方法在不确定的情况下使用时具有战略盲目性和固有的短视性。本研究提供了四个不确定性层次的概念、分析工具和例子。该研究将国际象棋和商业中的不确定性与企业在不确定情况下使用的量身定制的国际象棋原则、流程、战略和战术进行了比较。这项研究有助于当前使用国际象棋作为隐喻来描述商业的知识,找到与国际象棋动态的联系,并赋予其原则,战略和战术的使用。
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