Long Term Traffic Prediction in Highway Using Parallel CNN

Donghyun Lim, Minhyeok Lee, Junhee Seok
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引用次数: 2

Abstract

For navigation system, predicting future traffic conditions is crucial. To predict the traffic condition, statistical methods and neural network models have been studied. However, conventional methods have three limitations in which only the temporal properties are used, only narrow sections or time steps are predicted and not general road sections such as all section of highway but specific sections are used as test results. This paper proposes a parallel Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) that uses spatiotemporal properties and predicts for the next five hours and up to 400 km ranges in Korea's representative highway. Using a highway dataset, the proposed parallel CNN is trained and evaluated. As a result, the result of our model is improved by 10.6%, in terms of Root Mean Square Error (RMSE), compared to the conventional method. Moreover, in terms of the average of Average Speed Difference (ASD), the result of our model is improved by 63.5%.
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基于并行CNN的高速公路长期交通预测
对于导航系统来说,预测未来的交通状况至关重要。为了预测交通状况,研究了统计方法和神经网络模型。然而,传统的方法有三个局限性,即只使用时间属性,只预测狭窄的路段或时间步长,不使用一般路段(如公路的所有路段)而是使用特定路段作为测试结果。本文提出了一种并行卷积神经网络(CNN),该网络利用时空特性预测韩国代表性高速公路未来5小时和400公里范围内的情况。使用高速公路数据集,对所提出的并行CNN进行训练和评估。因此,与传统方法相比,我们模型的结果在均方根误差(RMSE)方面提高了10.6%。此外,在平均速度差(ASD)的平均值方面,我们的模型结果提高了63.5%。
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