Wheat Yield Estimation and Predication Via Machine Learning

Mukesh Singh Boori, K. Choudhary, R. Paringer, A. Kupriyanov, Youngwook Kim
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Abstract

A precise wheat yield estimation and prediction are significant for food safety and security purposes of a region or a country, which provide societal peace and sustainable development. Earlier methods for wheat yield prediction are time-consuming, site-specific, and expensive, require more manpower, and delay results with numerous errors and uncertainty. This research work uses numerous heterogeneous data in machine learning via linear regression (LR), decision tree (DT), and random forest (RF) regression by python for accurate wheat yield estimation and prediction at 10m resolution. In a comparison of all three regressions, RF shows the highest accuracy with R2: 98, and RMSE: 1.40, which is also increasing from seedling to harvest growth stage. This research work provides precision agriculture for the sustainable development of a region or a country.
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基于机器学习的小麦产量估计与预测
准确的小麦产量估算和预测对一个地区或一个国家的食品安全具有重要意义,为社会的和平与可持续发展提供保障。早期的小麦产量预测方法耗时长,且价格昂贵,需要更多的人力,并且结果延迟,存在许多误差和不确定性。本研究工作在机器学习中使用大量异构数据,通过线性回归(LR)、决策树(DT)和随机森林(RF)回归,通过python进行精确的小麦产量估计和预测,分辨率为10m。在3种回归的比较中,RF的准确度最高,R2为98,RMSE为1.40,且从苗期到收获生长期均呈增加趋势。这项研究工作为一个地区或一个国家的可持续发展提供了精准农业。
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