Short Term Predictions of Traffic Flow Characteristics using ML Techniques

B. Kumar, Naveen Kumar Chikkakrishna, Teja Tallam
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引用次数: 2

Abstract

This research article proposes a new model for traffic volume prediction, where it can be effectively used for transportation domain particularly in safety planning, management and assessment at any time. Various prediction methods are proposed for predicting the traffic flow, by including historical method, real-time method, time series analysis, but the precision and efficiency of time in forecasting are a couple of difficult contradictions. Real-time traffic information prediction with ANN and SVR are applied for developing an effective and efficient traffic prediction. This study develops the model for prediction of traffic volume for Nizampet road stretch, an urban area by analyzing the measured data in city of Hyderabad. In this study the artificial neural network model is best suited to Nizampet road stretch as the R-square value is 0.89 and performance measures are less compared with SVR model.
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使用ML技术的交通流特征短期预测
本文提出了一种新的交通量预测模型,可以有效地应用于交通运输领域,特别是安全规划、管理和评估。人们提出了多种预测交通流量的方法,包括历史预测法、实时预测法、时间序列分析等,但时间预测的精度和效率一直是难以解决的矛盾。将人工神经网络与支持向量回归相结合的实时交通信息预测方法应用于交通预测中。本研究通过分析海得拉巴市的实测数据,开发了预测城市地区Nizampet道路路段交通量的模型。在本研究中,人工神经网络模型最适合Nizampet道路拉伸,其r平方值为0.89,与SVR模型相比,性能指标较少。
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