Country Risk Premium: The Case of Chile

Zocimo Campos, Juan Tapia Gertosio, Paulina Gudaris
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Abstract

Currently there is no agreed method to estimate the Risk Premium accurately, therefore, different authors arrive at significantly different results when calculating the risk premium for a given country or industry. This work estimates the risk premium of the Chilean stock market (PRM) for the period 1993-2020 using different estimation methodologies (Differential Returns, Implicit Return in Current Stock Prices). The results indicate, depending on the methodology used, a Premium for Risk that ranges between 1,91% and 10,28%, which shows the existence of a positive premium for assuming risk in Chile that ranges around 5,3%.
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国家风险溢价:智利的案例
目前还没有一个公认的方法来准确地估计风险溢价,因此,不同的作者在计算特定国家或行业的风险溢价时得出的结果有很大的不同。这项工作估计智利股票市场(PRM)的风险溢价1993年至2020年期间使用不同的估计方法(差异收益,隐性收益在当前股票价格)。结果表明,根据所使用的方法,风险溢价在1.91%到10.28%之间,这表明智利承担风险的正溢价在5.3%左右。
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