CAN COLD STORAGE REDUCE SEASONAL VARIATION IN PRICES OF AGRICULTURAL COMMODITIES? A CASE OF POTATO IN BANGLADESH:

Md. Shishir Ahamed, M. Moniruzzaman, N. Tabassum
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Abstract

Cold storage has a significant role to maintain supply of potato throughout the year in a country and hence it can influence to reduce the seasonal price variations because in agriculture supply mainly regulates the price of commodities. This study was undertaken to investigate whether the cold storage can reduce the seasonal variation in prices of potato in Bangladesh. National data on monthly wholesale prices of potatoes (potato local, potato Holland white and red) were collected during the period from 1972 to 2018 from Department of Agricultural Marketing. Ratio to the moving average method was applied to measure the seasonal price indices between the two periods (before establishing sufficient capacity of cold storage and after establishing sufficient capacity of cold storage for storing potato in Bangladesh) for assessing whether the cold storage can reduce seasonal variation in prices of potato.  From the study it was revealed that seasonal price variation of different varieties of potatoes became lower after establishing sufficient cold storage capacity (more than 30 per cent of total potato production from 1988 to 2018) in the country, i.e., there is an impact of cold storage in reducing the seasonal price variation of potato. Because price variations for individual months, coefficient of variation and range, all of them are lower after establishing sufficient capacity of cold storage.  So, cold storages can reduce the seasonal variation in prices of potato. Government should facilitate more for establishing cold storage; these facilities can improve the seasonal price fluctuations of other vegetables also.
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冷藏能减少农产品价格的季节性变化吗?孟加拉国的一个土豆案例:
冷藏在维持一个国家全年马铃薯供应方面发挥着重要作用,因此它可以影响减少季节性价格变化,因为在农业供应中主要调节商品价格。本研究旨在调查冷藏是否能降低孟加拉国马铃薯价格的季节性变化。从农业营销部收集了1972年至2018年期间土豆(本地土豆、荷兰白土豆和红土豆)月度批发价格的全国数据。采用移动平均比率法测量两个时期(在孟加拉国建立足够的冷库容量之前和建立足够的冷库容量之后)之间的季节性价格指数,以评估冷库是否可以减少马铃薯价格的季节性变化。研究显示,在该国建立了足够的冷藏能力(1988年至2018年占马铃薯总产量的30%以上)后,不同品种马铃薯的季节性价格变化变得更低,即冷藏对减少马铃薯的季节性价格变化有影响。由于单月的价格变化、变异系数和幅度,在建立足够的冷库容量后,它们都较低。因此,冷藏可以减少土豆价格的季节性变化。政府应提供更多便利,以建立冷藏库;这些设施也可以改善其他蔬菜的季节性价格波动。
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