A Software Project Risk Analysis Model Based on Evidential Reasoning Approach

Nan Feng, Minqiang Li, H. Gao
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引用次数: 7

Abstract

In this paper, a software project risk analysis model based on evidential reasoning approach is presented. The modeling process consists of four phases: specification of the model structure, assessment of evidence strength, determination of software project risks, and risk monitoring and analysis. Using the changes of strength of evidences obtained from the process of software project development, the model can continually estimate the state of risk, and identify the sources of risk. The model provides a rigorous, structured manner to incorporate relevant software project risk factors and their interrelationships when estimating software project risks.
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基于证据推理方法的软件项目风险分析模型
提出了一种基于证据推理方法的软件项目风险分析模型。建模过程包括四个阶段:模型结构的说明、证据强度的评估、软件项目风险的确定以及风险监控和分析。利用从软件项目开发过程中获得的证据强度的变化,该模型可以持续地估计风险的状态,识别风险的来源。在评估软件项目风险时,该模型提供了一种严格的、结构化的方式来合并相关的软件项目风险因素及其相互关系。
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