A System Dynamics Model of Sustainable Construction for High rise Residential Projects in Developing Countries: Case of Indonesia

Aditya Sutantio, Nadjadji Anwar, I. Wiguna, E. Suryani
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Abstract

Despite its contribution to urban development, high rise residential projects also cause adverse impact on the living environment. To address the problem, a sustainable construction as a new paradigm has been introduced. Various papers have examined the importance of sustainable construction. However, most studies focused on social and environmental aspects and with few consideration on the economic objective of the business. This study aimed to fill the research gap by presenting a dynamic model to improve social, environmental and economic performance of sustainable construction for high rise residential projects in developing countries. This study started with a literature review as a basis for a qualitative survey conducted in thirty high rise residential projects in Indonesia, to identify the influencing factors and the interrelationships. To analysis the data, a system dynamics approach was utilized. The simulations reveal that the current regulation and construction practices are insufficient to reduce environmental negative impacts. In order to formulate better policies, three scenarios comprised the implementation of building energy regulation, tax incentives policy, and a policy mix were employed. The results show that the scenarios could improve construction sustainability performance in some extends. The combination of building regulation and tax incentives policy is effective to achieve environmental and social as well as economic aspects of sustainable construction which is suitable for investors. Based on the results, it is concluded that the model can be used to formulate various policies in the future to enhance sustainable construction of high rise residential projects in developing countries.
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发展中国家高层住宅项目可持续建设的系统动力学模型:以印度尼西亚为例
高层住宅项目在促进城市发展的同时,也对人居环境造成了不利影响。为了解决这一问题,可持续建筑作为一种新的范式被引入。各种各样的论文都研究了可持续建设的重要性。然而,大多数研究集中在社会和环境方面,很少考虑企业的经济目标。本研究旨在通过提出一个动态模型来改善发展中国家高层住宅项目可持续建设的社会、环境和经济绩效,从而填补研究空白。本研究以文献综述为基础,对印尼30个高层住宅项目进行了定性调查,以确定影响因素和相互关系。采用系统动力学方法对数据进行分析。模拟结果表明,目前的法规和施工实践不足以减少对环境的负面影响。为了制定更好的政策,我们采用了三种情景,包括实施建筑能源监管、税收优惠政策和政策组合。结果表明,该方案在一定程度上提高了建筑的可持续性绩效。建筑监管和税收优惠政策相结合,可以有效地实现可持续建筑的环境、社会和经济方面,适合投资者。研究结果表明,该模型可用于制定未来发展中国家高层住宅项目可持续建设的各种政策。
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