Higher Pedestrian Fatalities in Larger Cities? Scaling Analysis of Over 115 to 161 Large U.S. Cities

Yu Sang Chang, Won Jae Lee, Jae Hee Lee
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Abstract

We examine the scaling relationship of pedestrian fatality counts as a function of the population size of 115 to 161 large U.S cities during the period of 1994 to 2011. We also examine the relationship of non-pedestrian and total traffic fatality counts as well. We used both annual and panel data bivariate and multivariate regression models.We found the scaling relationship display economy of scale or sublinear for pedestrian fatality. The relationship displays superlinear relationship in case of non-pedestrian fatality. When the relationship was examined by the subgroup of cities with different population sizes, the most pronounced scaling relationships was discovered for the group of mega cities. Implication from these findings will be presented.
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大城市的行人死亡率更高?美国115至161个大城市的尺度分析
我们研究了1994年至2011年期间美国115至161个大城市人口规模与行人死亡人数的比例关系。我们还研究了非行人和总交通死亡人数的关系。我们使用年度和面板数据双变量和多变量回归模型。我们发现,行人死亡的比例关系表现为规模经济或亚线性。在非行人死亡情况下,关系呈现超线性关系。当用不同人口规模的城市子组来检验这种关系时,超大城市组发现了最明显的缩放关系。本文将介绍这些发现的含义。
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