The Effects of Total Health Expenditure on Economic Growth in Central and Eastern Sub-Sahara African Regions

F. Yusufu, O. B. Awoyemi, Kehinde John Komolafe
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Abstract

This study looked at the link connecting the growth of the economy and health spending in Central and Eastern Sub-Saharan Africa. To assess the short and long-term effects of total per capita health expenditure on the growth of the economy across Sub-Saharan African areas (East Africa and Central Africa), the panel data analysis was employed. In the short-term, total per-capita health expenditure (THE_PC) in Central Africa has an upbeat outcome on economic growth (LGDP_PC) at all levels of significance. In the long-term, current health per-capital expenditure (CHE_PC) has an upbeat outcome on the growth of the economy (LGDP_PC) at 5% and 10% significance levels, whereas life expectancy at birth (LEB) has a downbeat outcome on the growth of the economy. In East Africa THE_PC in the short and long-run has a favorable effect on the growth of the economy (LGDP_PC) at 5 and 10% significant levels, whereas CHE_GDP has a downbeat outcome on the growth of the economy (LGDP_PC) at all levels in the long-run. The findings imply that increasing per-capita health spending will boost the growth of the economy in the short term while increasing CHE_PC and LEB will boost economic growth in the long run. More investment in health services is recommended. Keywords: Public Spending, Economic Growth, GDP Per-Capita, Long Run, Mean Group, Dynamic Fixed Effect, Pooled Mean Group/ARDL (Autoregressive Distributed Lags), Short Run
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撒哈拉以南非洲中部和东部地区卫生总支出对经济增长的影响
这项研究着眼于撒哈拉以南非洲中部和东部地区经济增长与卫生支出之间的联系。为了评估人均卫生支出总额对整个撒哈拉以南非洲地区(东非和中非)经济增长的短期和长期影响,采用了面板数据分析。在短期内,中非的人均卫生总支出(THE_PC)对各级经济增长(LGDP_PC)都有积极的影响。从长期来看,当前人均卫生支出(CHE_PC)对经济增长(LGDP_PC)具有5%和10%显著性水平的乐观结果,而出生时预期寿命(LEB)对经济增长具有悲观结果。在东非,短期和长期的gdp对经济增长(LGDP_PC)有5%和10%显著水平的有利影响,而长期的CHE_GDP对经济增长(LGDP_PC)有一个悲观的结果。研究结果表明,提高人均医疗卫生支出在短期内会促进经济增长,而提高人均医疗卫生支出和人均医疗卫生支出在长期内会促进经济增长。建议增加对保健服务的投资。关键词:公共支出,经济增长,人均GDP,长期,均值群,动态固定效应,集合均值群/自回归分布滞后,短期
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