A Review and Classification of the Uncertainties in Projects: The Way Forward

A. Anand, Alessio Castello, L. Lecoeuvre
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引用次数: 2

Abstract

This article aims to summarize existing research on various sources of uncertainty and to classify them based on the determinants and antecedents addressed in projects. A systematic review is conducted using a total of 140 research published in peer-reviewed scientific journals during the last three decades. We classify various uncertainty based on their individual, relational, group, organizational, project-oriented, and managerial characteristics. Additionally, we uncovered a few gaps such as, how uncertainties differ based on the size of the organization, the need for exploring uncertainty from a more cross-disciplinary perspective, differentiating the concept of complexity and risk with uncertainty and the role of chaos theory,  that require future study. By leveraging significant findings, this is study contributes from the perspective of theory and practice to academic, project, and industrial management discipline.  
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项目不确定性的回顾与分类:未来之路
本文旨在总结各种不确定性来源的现有研究,并根据项目中解决的决定因素和先决条件对其进行分类。系统回顾了过去三十年来在同行评议的科学期刊上发表的140项研究。我们根据个体、关系、群体、组织、项目导向和管理特征对各种不确定性进行分类。此外,我们还发现了一些差距,例如,不确定性如何根据组织的规模而变化,从更跨学科的角度探索不确定性的必要性,区分复杂性和风险与不确定性的概念以及混沌理论的作用,这些都需要未来的研究。本研究从理论和实践的角度对学术、项目和行业管理学科做出了贡献。
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