STUDY OF CONNECTION BETWEEN STOCK MARKET AND ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE IN MALAYSIAN CONTEXT

Ngee Derk
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引用次数: 2

Abstract

The focus of the study is to test the stock market performance influence on the economic growth for time series for the period of 2002 to 2018 on quarterly basis. In this study, the performance measures included standard deviation which is measure of volatility, total value traded shared as measure of liquidity, turnover ratio as measure of liquidity, and stock market capitalization ratio as a measure of the size. The focus of the study is the Malaysian stock exchange market. The study utilized real GDP as an indicator of economic growth. The exchange rate and the interest rates are used as control variables. The study used Vector Autoregressive model and the Granger causality test are utilized for finding the directional relationship between the stock market and economic growth connection. Results states that variables are statistically insignificant and there is no meaningful relationship found.
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马来西亚背景下股票市场与经济表现的关系研究
本研究的重点是在季度基础上检验2002 - 2018年时间序列股票市场表现对经济增长的影响。在本研究中,绩效指标包括衡量波动性的标准差,衡量流动性的交易总额,衡量流动性的换手率,以及衡量规模的股票市值率。研究的重点是马来西亚证券交易所市场。该研究利用实际GDP作为经济增长的指标。汇率和利率作为控制变量。本研究采用向量自回归模型和格兰杰因果检验来寻找股票市场与经济增长联系的方向性关系。结果表明,变量在统计上不显著,没有发现有意义的关系。
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