{"title":"How computers will be used differently in the next twenty years","authors":"M. Weiser","doi":"10.1109/SECPRI.1999.766917","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"How computers will be used will be determined in part by technology trends, and in part by trends in the needs of people for computation, and by changes in living and activities. These changes are parts of feedback loops: for example, changes in needs cause changes in investments which cause changes in technology which enable changes in lifestyle. Beyond a few years the scene is no more predictable in shape than any other chaotic system. I nonetheless propose some strong attractors based on what seem to be stable regions extrapolated from the present.","PeriodicalId":204019,"journal":{"name":"Proceedings of the 1999 IEEE Symposium on Security and Privacy (Cat. No.99CB36344)","volume":"3 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"1999-05-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"14","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Proceedings of the 1999 IEEE Symposium on Security and Privacy (Cat. No.99CB36344)","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1109/SECPRI.1999.766917","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 14
Abstract
How computers will be used will be determined in part by technology trends, and in part by trends in the needs of people for computation, and by changes in living and activities. These changes are parts of feedback loops: for example, changes in needs cause changes in investments which cause changes in technology which enable changes in lifestyle. Beyond a few years the scene is no more predictable in shape than any other chaotic system. I nonetheless propose some strong attractors based on what seem to be stable regions extrapolated from the present.
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