The Past, Present, and Future of FDI: Towards a better Global Economics

Sana Ullah, Ahmed Usman, Muhammad Imran
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引用次数: 4

Abstract

We document past, present, and future of FDI trend in recent decades that goes substantially beyond the advanced economies. This rigorous study also examines the influence of FDI on economic growth using macro variables for a global perspective. Six macro variables namely, FDI, physical capital, trade, human capital, labor force, and infrastructure were used in this study. We did a panel analysis on data from 2002 to 2017 and used rigorous two-way fixed effect model. This study finds that both FDI and trade openness enhance economic growth. Open door policies are more beneficial for the entire world; capital also plays a significant role in this process. Further, FDI plays a role with human capital but vocational training, skilled labor force and education are the most important factors to attract FDI. In the last decade, overall sub-Saharan African, EU and Central Asia, Latin America and Caribbean regions have observed a significant economic growth through FDI. The future of FDI in a high populated area is very gleaming. The overall result indicates that FDI accelerates economic growth in the globe.
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外国直接投资的过去、现在和未来:走向更好的全球经济
我们记录了近几十年来外国直接投资的过去、现在和未来趋势,这些趋势大大超出了发达经济体的范围。这一严谨的研究还从宏观角度考察了FDI对经济增长的影响。本研究采用FDI、实物资本、贸易、人力资本、劳动力和基础设施六个宏观变量。我们对2002年至2017年的数据进行了面板分析,采用严格的双向固定效应模型。研究发现FDI和贸易开放都促进了经济增长。开放政策对整个世界更有利;资本在这一过程中也扮演着重要的角色。此外,FDI对人力资本起作用,但职业培训、熟练劳动力和教育是吸引FDI最重要的因素。在过去十年中,整个撒哈拉以南非洲、欧盟和中亚、拉丁美洲和加勒比地区通过外国直接投资取得了显著的经济增长。在一个人口密集的地区,外国直接投资的前景非常光明。总体结果表明,FDI加速了全球经济增长。
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