Study of social risk assessment on major projects based on risk perception

Chen Xiao-zheng, Huang Xiang-ming
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引用次数: 2

Abstract

In recent years, major projects are becoming risk sources to social instability, which have triggered many mass incidents. High-risk society changes evaluation criteria and agenda of project decision-making. By introducing risk society theory into social impact assessment on major projects, a model of “cognition-behavior” is established to modify the assessment criteria and discipline, and also a new framework to assess and precaution potential social stability risks related to the major projects. As a case study, more than 1000 residents from Daya Bay Nuclear Power Plant are surveyed. It shows that there is a significant correlation between psychological reactions and social stability risk behaviors. Along with the risk perception degree enhancement, persons are more likely to have a strong risk appetite and risk behaviors. Including risk perception of the surrounding residents in the framework of social risk assessment explores a path to prevention of psychological crisis of anxiety triggered by major projects, which helps to establish a more scientific and reasonable risk assessment model.
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基于风险感知的重大项目社会风险评估研究
近年来,重大工程日益成为社会不稳定的风险源,引发了多起群体性事件。高风险社会改变了项目决策的评价标准和议程。将风险社会理论引入重大项目社会影响评价中,建立了“认知-行为”模型,修正了重大项目社会影响评价标准和评价学科,为重大项目社会稳定潜在风险的评价和防范提供了新的框架。本文以大亚湾核电站1000多名居民为研究对象进行了调查。结果表明,心理反应与社会稳定风险行为存在显著相关。随着风险感知程度的提高,人们更容易产生强烈的风险偏好和风险行为。将周边居民的风险感知纳入社会风险评估框架,探索了重大项目引发焦虑心理危机的预防路径,有助于建立更加科学合理的风险评估模型。
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