Foreign exchange rate prediction by fuzzy inferencing on deterministic chaos

S. Ghoshray
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引用次数: 4

Abstract

Predicting foreign exchange rates and stock market have been a well researched topic in the field of financial engineering. However, most methods suffer from serious drawback due to inherent uncertainty and the data acquisition problems. In this research, we have analyzed the very nature of the time series data from a pure dynamical system point of view and explored the deterministic chaotic characteristic in it. A fuzzy reconstruction method based on fuzzy multiple regression analysis have been used to predict the foreign exchange rates with accuracy.
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基于确定性混沌的模糊推理外汇汇率预测
预测外汇汇率和股票市场一直是金融工程领域研究的热点。然而,由于固有的不确定性和数据采集问题,大多数方法都存在严重的缺陷。在本研究中,我们从纯动力系统的角度分析了时间序列数据的本质,并探讨了其中的确定性混沌特性。本文采用基于模糊多元回归分析的模糊重建方法对汇率进行了较为准确的预测。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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