The Finance – Growth Nexus in Botswana: A Multivariate Causal Linkage

Brian Muyambi̇ri̇, Nancy Neoyame Chabaefe
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引用次数: 46

Abstract

This paper evaluates the dynamic causal relationship between financial development, savings, investment and economic growth in Botswana from 1976-2014 by employing a multivariate causality model. Results reveal that it is chiefly investment that drives the bank-related and stock exchange-based financial sectors in the short run. Stock exchange-based financial development drives bank-related financial development and savings in both the short run and the long run. While, savings are found to Granger-cause investment. Economic growth Granger-causes investment and savings, both, in the short run and long run. Further, only bank-related financial development is found to Granger-cause economic growth in Botswana.
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博茨瓦纳的金融-增长关系:多元因果关系
本文采用多元因果关系模型,对1976-2014年博茨瓦纳金融发展、储蓄、投资和经济增长之间的动态因果关系进行了评估。结果表明,在短期内,主要是投资推动了银行相关和证券交易所金融部门的发展。以证券交易所为基础的金融发展对银行相关的金融发展和储蓄具有短期和长期的推动作用。同时,储蓄被发现是格兰杰投资。经济增长在短期和长期都会引起投资和储蓄。此外,只有与银行相关的金融发展才会导致博茨瓦纳的格兰杰经济增长。
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