A Study on the Characteristics and Determinants of Successful Bids on Agricultural Land by Outsiders in Real Estate Auctions

Geun-Joon Kim, Ro Seung-Han
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Abstract

The speculation of agricultural land by non-farmers in the recent LH Corporation scandal has raised a huge social issue and caused quite a stir. As the price of agricultural land is rising, it is used as a means of increasing property for a capital gain instead of farming, which is clearly confirmed in the percentage of outsiders purchasing agricultural land. Specifying these issues, this study investigates the characteristics of outsiders making a successful bid in agricultural land auctions and checks factors influencing their successful bids in the procedure of a real estate auction as one of the important ways to acquire land. As for methodology, the investigator examined 1,606 items of agricultural land (fields and paddies) that were auctioned off in court in five major areas around the nation between 2013~2017, dividing them according to outsiders and local people based on the addresses of successful bidders and conducting binary logistic regression analysis. The analysis results demonstrate that the percentage of outsiders in the successful bids of agricultural land was very high in real estate auctions and identified characteristic factors (waterfront areas, stake items, and so on) that had impacts on the successful bids of agricultural land by outsiders.
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房地产拍卖中外来者中标农用地的特征及影响因素研究
在最近的LH公司事件中,非农民的农地投机行为引发了巨大的社会问题,并引起了不小的轰动。随着农用地价格的上涨,农用地被用作增加财产以获得资本收益的手段,而不是耕作,这在外地人购买农用地的比例中得到了明确的证实。针对这些问题,本研究考察了外地人在农用地拍卖中中标的特点,并分析了影响外地人在房地产拍卖中中标的因素,房地产拍卖是获得土地的重要途径之一。方法方面,调查人员以2013~2017年在全国5个主要地区法院拍卖的1606件农地(田、水田)为对象,根据中标者的地址,按照外地人和当地居民划分,进行了二元逻辑回归分析。分析结果表明,在房地产拍卖中,外地人在农用地中标中所占的比例非常高,并确定了影响农用地中标的特征因素(滨水区、股权项目等)。
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