PROBABILISTIC ANALYSIS OF THE FRAGILITY OF REACTOR BUILDINGS ON THE IMPACT OF EXTREME CLIMATIC LOADS

J. Králik, J. Králik
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Abstract

: This paper gives the results of the probabilistic analysis of the nuclear power plants safety in Slovakia. The probabilistic assessment of NPP structures for Probabilistic Safety Analysis (PSA) level 2 of VVER 440/213 in the case of the extreme external even without the earthquake is presented. On the base of the meteorological monitoring of the locality the extreme load parameters were defined for the return period 10 4 years using the Monte Carlo simulations. There is showed summary of calculation models and calculation methods for the probability analysis of the structural resistance. The numerical simulations on the base of the LHS method were realized in the system ANSYS and FReET.
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极端气候荷载影响下反应堆建筑物易损性的概率分析
本文给出了斯洛伐克核电厂安全的概率分析结果。给出了核电站结构在极端外部条件下(即使没有地震)的概率安全分析(PSA)等级(VVER 440/213)的概率评估。在当地气象监测的基础上,利用蒙特卡罗模拟方法确定了104年的极端负荷参数。对结构阻力概率分析的计算模型和计算方法进行了总结。在系统ANSYS和FReET中实现了基于LHS方法的数值模拟。
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