Industrialization of Developing Countries in a Multicountry Multisector Capital Accumulation Model

Tadateru Hayashi
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Abstract

This paper shows that industrialization of developing countries, defined as start of production of investment goods, happens when their share in global production exceeds the global demand for consumption goods. Industrialization is simulated in a capital accumulation model with two countries (advanced and developing), three goods, and two factors. The model accommodates trade relations where countries specialize in the production of one or two goods, which happens when countries have relatively different factor endowments. The model includes production under monopolistic competition and with intermediate inputs. Capital mobility across the border can facilitate industrialization, but the developing country continues borrowing capital from the advanced country at the steady state where capital accumulation stops. The model also shows that a gap in per labor capital between countries narrows, but the developing country never catches up with the advanced country. Gaps between the countries are smaller in per labor gross domestic product and consumption, than in per labor capital.
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一个多国多部门资本积累模型下的发展中国家工业化
本文表明,当发展中国家在全球生产中的份额超过全球对消费品的需求时,发展中国家的工业化(定义为投资品生产的开始)就会发生。工业化是用两个国家(发达国家和发展中国家)、三种商品、两种要素的资本积累模型来模拟的。该模型适用于各国专门生产一种或两种商品的贸易关系,这种情况发生在各国具有相对不同的要素禀赋的情况下。该模型包括垄断竞争和中间投入的生产。资本跨境流动可以促进工业化,但在资本积累停止的稳定状态下,发展中国家继续向发达国家借贷。该模型还显示,国家之间的人均劳动力资本差距缩小,但发展中国家从未赶上发达国家。两国在人均国内生产总值和人均消费方面的差距小于人均劳动力资本方面的差距。
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