Analysis and Prediction of Economic Cross-correlation under COVID-19 based on MF-LSTM and WNN

Z. Gong, Deng Jing, Xinyun Lin, Qianchuan Zhao
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Abstract

In the era of COVID-19, it is particularly important to analyze the correlation of economic indicators and propose corresponding policies. In this paper, a number of industry indicators that have an important impact on the economy are selected, and normalization, interpolation, and PCA operations are performed on them. Based on the MF-LSTM neural network, this paper analyzes the many-to-one correlation between industry indicators and macroeconomic indicators. Furthermore, based on the WNN neural network, wavelet analysis is used to predict the impact of macroeconomic indicators on people's livelihood indicators under time series. Based on the above model, the coupling relationship between industry indicators and macroeconomic indicators and the development trend of people's livelihood indicators for a period of time in the future have been obtained, and the accuracy of the model has also been verified.
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基于MF-LSTM和WNN的2019冠状病毒病疫情经济相关分析与预测
在COVID-19时代,分析经济指标的相关性并提出相应的政策就显得尤为重要。本文选取了一些对经济有重要影响的行业指标,并对其进行了归一化、插值和PCA操作。本文基于MF-LSTM神经网络,分析了行业指标与宏观经济指标之间的多对一相关性。在此基础上,基于WNN神经网络,利用小波分析预测时间序列下宏观经济指标对民生指标的影响。基于上述模型,得到了行业指标与宏观经济指标之间的耦合关系以及未来一段时间内民生指标的发展趋势,并验证了模型的准确性。
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