Estimating Parameter for the Mixture Generalized Gamma Distribution

W. Phaphan
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引用次数: 2

Abstract

Mixture generalized gamma distribution is a combination of two distributions -- Generalized gamma distribution and length biased generalized gamma distribution. This distribution is presented by Suksaengrakcharoen and Bodhisuwan in 2014. The findings showed that probability density function (pdf) had fairly complexities, so it made problems in estimating parameters. The problem occurred in parameter estimation was that we were unable to calculate estimators in the form of critical expression. Thus, we will use numerical estimation to find the estimators. In this study, we presented a new method of the parameter estimation by using the expectation -- maximization algorithm (EM), the conjugate gradient method, and the quasi-Newton method. The data was generated by acceptance-rejection method which is used for estimating α, β λ and p. λ is the scale parameter, p is the weight parameter, α and β are the shape parameters. We will use Monte Carlo technique to find the estimator's performance. Determining the size of sample equals 30, 100 and the simulation were repeated 20 times in each case. We evaluated the effectiveness of the estimators which was introduced by considering values of the mean squared errors and the bias. The findings revealed that the EM-algorithm had proximity to the actual values determined. Also, the maximum likelihood estimators via the conjugate gradient and the quasi-Newton method are less precision than the maximum likelihood estimators via the EM-algorithm.
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混合广义伽玛分布的参数估计
混合广义伽玛分布是广义伽玛分布和长度偏倚广义伽玛分布两种分布的组合。这个分布由Suksaengrakcharoen和Bodhisuwan在2014年提出。结果表明,概率密度函数具有一定的复杂性,在参数估计中存在一定的问题。在参数估计中出现的问题是我们无法以临界表达式的形式计算估计量。因此,我们将使用数值估计来找到估计量。本文提出了一种利用期望最大化算法、共轭梯度法和拟牛顿法进行参数估计的新方法。采用接受-拒绝法对α、β λ和p进行估计,λ为尺度参数,p为权重参数,α和β为形状参数。我们将使用蒙特卡罗技术来找到估计器的性能。确定样本大小为30、100,每种情况下重复模拟20次。我们通过考虑均方误差和偏差的值来评估引入的估计器的有效性。结果表明,em算法与实际确定的值接近。此外,共轭梯度法和拟牛顿法的极大似然估计精度低于em -算法的极大似然估计精度。
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